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Paths to victory: Electoral College map offers differing scenarios of Trump, Harris wins


This combination of file photos shows Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump, left, speaking at a campaign rally, Oct. 18, 2024, in Detroit, and Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris, right, speaking at a campaign rally in Green Bay, Wis., Oct. 17, 2024. (AP Photo)
This combination of file photos shows Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump, left, speaking at a campaign rally, Oct. 18, 2024, in Detroit, and Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris, right, speaking at a campaign rally in Green Bay, Wis., Oct. 17, 2024. (AP Photo)
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In the final days of the Presidential campaign, both candidates are facing crunch time. The focus now is the electoral map math. 270 electoral college votes is the magic number, and with experts agreeing that seven swing states could tip the scales one way or the other, multiple paths to the White House are available.

If typical election trends hold with the other states, Vice President Kamala Harris' easiest path is through the Rust Belt or "blue wall" states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. If she wins the blue wall, her vote count is at 270. If former President Donald Trump were to win all other swing states, he'd be at 268, meaning in this scenario, he'd only need one blue wall state to go his way and he'd be the winner.

Trump's focus is likely on the southern swing states of North Carolina and Georgia. Sweeping the two states gives him options; he could win those two along with Pennsylvania and get the necessary votes needed. If he lost Pennsylvania, he could grab one more blue wall state along with either Arizona or Nevada and still win.

The Sun Belt offers both Trump and Harris options, as well. President Joe Biden grabbed both Arizona and Nevada in 2020 by slim margins and Trump is polling well in both states. There are multiple scenarios involving splitting the two states, but there's also an option for Harris to lose all of the blue wall but still win the White House if she swept the Sun Belt states of Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina.

Both campaigns are crunching the numbers heading into Tuesday.

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